Global Macro Pulse

Where the world economy stands. Invest, hold or wait.

One read across the four markets that set the global cost of capital. Region by region the leading indicators set the direction and the coincident data confirms it; here they are weighed together, with the risks that could bring markets down and the channels that carry a shock from one market to the next.

Decision
 

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World composite
 

 

Risk level
 

 

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Macro Pulse

Five pages, one framework.

GlobalInvest, hold or wait. World scores, the risk monitor and how shocks travel. United StatesISM, sentiment, jobs, the Fed and Treasuries. ChinaPMIs, property, trade, deflation and the PBoC. JapanTankan, wages, the BoJ, JGBs and the yen. EuropeHCOB PMIs, HICP, the ECB, spreads and gas.
Why it matters in Riyadh

One world, one cost of capital.

Saudi funding costs track global yields through the dollar peg, Gulf oil revenue tracks Asian and European demand, and GCC equities move with global risk appetite. Awraq Capital reads these signals to time and structure capital for developers, landowners and companies.

Financing solutions Sukuk advisory

Important notice

General information onlyThis page summarises publicly reported economic and market data and Awraq Capital's reading of it. It is not investment, legal, tax or accounting advice, and it is not an offer or an invitation to buy or sell any security or financial product.

No recommendationNothing here is a recommendation to take or avoid any position. Regime, posture, decision and signal labels describe conditions under a fixed indicator framework. They are not forecasts, and past readings are not a guide to future results.

Data and timingFigures come from the public sources linked beside each reading and are shown as reported on the dates stated. They can be revised by the issuing agency, and market levels are closing or latest-available values, not live prices. Awraq Capital does not guarantee their accuracy or completeness.

Third-party dataIndex names and data series remain the property of their respective owners, including S&P Global, the Institute for Supply Management, Cboe, ICE Data Indices, Eurostat, the Bank of Japan and the National Bureau of Statistics of China. They are referenced here for information, with links to the source.